John is a lifelong Broncos fan who admittedly cried (a little) when they finally won their first championship in 1997. He has worked tirelessly to experience that triumphant feeing again, as a business owner and mentor, a singer/songwriter, and a fantasy football player for over 10 years. He has virtually no respect or use for dynasty running backs.
We break down all the top quarterback prospects in the NFL Draft and predict where they may end up.
Apr 21,2024
A behind the scene look at ranking methodology and individual rookie rankings vs the consensus.
Aug 08,2023
At the very beginning of the non-point-scoring season, I wrote about Bryce Young (here) and CJ Stroud (here). Since then, Anthony Richardson...
Apr 20,2023
We break down the best and worst performances shown by quarterbacks at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine.
Mar 06,2023
A behind the scene look at ranking methodology and individual rankings vs the consensus.
Feb 03,2023
Where will Stroud end up being drafted in superflex leagues?
Jan 16,2023
Is Bryce Young the top quarterback option this year and where should he be drafted in superflex leagues?
Jan 11,2023
John Hogue offers a comprehensive breakdown of where rookie picks fit into startup drafts.
Apr 18,2022
We examine various ways of acquiring and selling quarterbacks in your superflex leagues.
Mar 24,2022
How did the top quarterbacks measure up the Scouting Combine
Mar 05,2022
How does a superflex startup draft look with both 2022 and 2023 rookie picks included?
Jan 22,2022
We take a look at what a superflex startup draft might look like if rookie picks were included.
Apr 20,2021
We break down February superflex ADP data that used rookie picks instead of players. What did we learn?
Mar 13,2021
We wrap up our in-depth series by considering roster construction in 2QB and superflex leagues.
Sep 08,2020
A Superflex Life continues with a look at the value of quarterbacks in trades in superflex leagues.
Aug 24,2020
In Volume IV of A Superflex Life, we discuss making yourself 'The QB Store'.
Aug 15,2020
Our new series, 'A Superflex Life,' continues...
Aug 03,2020
We tackle some of the myths associated with superflex dynasty leagues.
Jul 27,2020
We look at why quarterbacks should get more respect in fantasy football. Do you play in a superflex league?
Jul 20,2020
Rookie picks are included in this latest ADP review for the superflex format.
Jan 08,2020
Do we value future draft picks too much? We examine their value.
Jun 14,2019
How have rookies and veterans been affected by the 2019 NFL Draft in our latest superflex ADP data?
May 02,2019
We bring you the latest dynasty superflex ADP data!
Mar 26,2019
How did the February superflex ADP data look with the inclusion of rookies? We break it down.
Mar 05,2019
We dive deep into the latest dynasty superflex ADP data. What will we find?
Feb 01,2019
We bring you part one in a three-part guide of how to approach the rest of your season.
Oct 06,2018
You're a middle-of-the-pack team after four weeks. What should your plan be moving forward?
Oct 06,2018
In the final part of this mini-series, we offer advice for 1-3 and 0-4 teams moving forward.
Oct 06,2018
“Carolina’s weapons include WRs Adam Thielen and DJ Chark, along with RB Miles Sanders, which makes the offense more fantasy fruitful in the short term.” - Comparing Carolina to Houston as QB landing spots.
“But if we set aside the fantasy lens and look at this from the perspective of an NFL front office, we realize that Levis appears to be the safer prospect.” - Predicting Will Levis to be drafted ahead of Anthony Richardson.
“I believe he will be a first-round pick, but the prediction here is that he is not top five, top ten, or even top 15.” - Predicting a slide to the middle of the first round for Richardson.
Some of last year’s predictions in this same article were… questionable. The reality is, all it takes is one NFL front office disagreeing with my evaluations to prove me wrong.
I bring it up because, as you’ll soon find out, this year I’m predicting that six quarterbacks are drafted in the first round. It would be unprecedented, and it is a bold prediction. Here’s the thing though… I could definitely be wrong about the six. Maybe it’s seven. Maybe even eight. Who knows?
It’s an interesting time in the NFL, when suddenly, roughly half of the league is unsettled at QB, either short-term, long-term, or both. The Bears, Washington Football Team (Commanders, whatever. They had it right the first time. WFT FTW!), Patriots, Vikings, Raiders, and Broncos all NEED a quarterback, without a true starter on roster. The Giants, Saints, Seahawks, and possibly the 49ers could all use an upgrade. The Rams, Jets, Falcons, and possibly the Lions could use a long term contingency plan. And the Titans, Steelers, Browns, Panthers, and maybe even the Cowboys and Jaguars are anxiously holding their breath, hoping they have the answer on roster, but secretly wondering if they need a break-the-glass emergency option.
While the prediction of six in the first round seems aggressive, we may find out that it wasn’t aggressive enough. Last season was a reminder that the NFL Draft is unpredictable, and that was in a more defined class with fewer teams flirting with desperation.
The one thing that doesn’t change and isn’t hard to predict, is the way we can use the information we’re given in the draft for our dynasty superflex leagues. Draft capital trumps landing spot, talent rises, and the rule that “QB drives superflex” applies, but has its limits.
In an especially unpredictable year, let’s be prepared for anything… and react accordingly.
Here are the incoming rookie QBs headed for the first round, in the order I’m guessing they will be drafted, and the dynasty superflex impact they would have.
Strengths
Weaknesses
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